Experts Feel Lockdown In India Helped In Preventing ‘US, Europe-Like’ Situation But Say Bigger Challenge Awaits

lockdown afp - Daily Mail India

New Delhi: As India completes a month below lockdown that introduced the world’s most populous democracy to a digital standstill, with no or very minimal social and financial actions to stop the unfold of COVID-19 pandemic, a number of medical specialists really feel that these restrictions have been essential in stopping a “US or Europe-like” state of affairs from materialising within the nation.

However, a lot of the specialists additionally cautioned {that a} “bigger challenge” awaits the nation when it regularly transfer in the direction of exiting the nationwide lockdown, which has emerged as one in every of India’s largest weapons to date within the battle towards COVID-19.

India’s first case was reported on January 30, and 54 days afterward March 25, with 519 confirmed instances of coronavirus and 11 deaths, the nation was put below a 21-day full lockdown, therefore beginning the nation’s full-blown battle towards the pandemic.

At the top of the lockdown, the entire variety of coronavirus instances has crossed the 23,000 mark and there are 718 deaths because of COVID-19 within the nation. Globally, the entire variety of instances of infections are over 27.Three lakh and extra than1.91 lakh individuals have died as a result of virus with the US and the UK together with another European nations among the many worst affected nations.

After a 3 week interval that ended on April 14, Prime Minister Narendra Modi prolonged the countrywide lockdown for 19 further days until May Three to include the unfold of the pandemic.

Though, the variety of infections stored on rising via the interval of the lockdown, specialists imagine it’s not “alarming” and the state of affairs appears to be below management in India as in comparison with the US and a number of other different western nations the place instances have skyrocketed and the loss of life toll is mounting.

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After per week into the lockdown, the tally of instances reached 1,397 and 35 deaths on March 31, a leap of 878 instances and 24 deaths, whereas on the finish of two weeks of the lockdown on April 7, the instances had risen to 4,789 with 124 deaths, witnessing a spike of three,392 instances and 89 deaths.

On the final day of the 21-day first section lockdown, the loss of life toll as a result of coronavirus stood at 353 with the variety of instances hovering to 10,815.The third week of the lockdown noticed a leap of 6,026 instances and 229 deaths.

The subsequent 10 days noticed a spike of 365 deaths and 12,262 instances. As per the Union well being ministry Friday replace, the loss of life toll because of COVID-19 is 718 and the variety of instances 23,077. Though solely an in depth examine would have the ability to throw gentle on the success of the lockdown, medical specialists really feel it was essential and India’s state of affairs would have been much more precarious in its absence.

Dr Arvind Kumar, a famous lung surgeon on the Sir Ganga Ram Hospital, stated the month-long lockdown has been “immensely beneficial” for India and prevented a “US or Europe-like” state of affairs from materialising within the nation.

“More importantly, it has given us a golden 30 days time to prepare our health services and other support services to face the onslaught (of the virus) even if it was to come in the ensuing days,” he informed PTI.

Kumar additionally stated that as a healthcare employee he want to see a choice on extension of the lockdown round April 30 or May 1 after assessing the state of affairs on the time.

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“Lifting of lockdown should be very gradual. Some facilities should remain closed through the month of May like schools, colleges, malls, cinema halls, religious places and markets. Certain sectors feeling the pinch should open but only in green zones, while red and orange zones should continue in lockdown,” he stated.

Ravi Shekhar Jha, Senior Consultant and Head of the Department, Pulmonology, Fortis Escorts Faridabad, additionally hailed the federal government’s determination to impose the lockdown in containing the virus, saying it was “timely”.

He, nevertheless, asserted that the lifting of lockdown will likely be “the real challenge”, and advocated its phased lifting after identification of hotspots and permitting solely important providers there.

The exit from the lockdown must be based mostly on a really analytical strategy, giving precedence to scientific fairly than financial issues, he informed PTI.

Dr Rommel Tickoo, Associate Director, Internal Medicine, Max healthcare, stated the lockdown has been fairly useful for India when in comparison with the state of affairs within the US and Europe.

“Ours was quite timely. We have over 20,000 cases, so if you compare it with the US and Europe, definitely we are in a much better condition. The mortality rate is also lower in India at round 3 per cent,” he informed PTI.

Asked if a much bigger problem awaits India in lifting the lockdown, Tickoo stated restrictions ought to be lifted in a phased method.

He additionally advised that India can take a leaf out of nations like Sweden and put restrictions on the aged and people with comorbid situations for 2-Three months as they appear to be extra weak to the virus.

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The lockdown interval has not simply been about numbers but additionally in regards to the dogged resolve of a nation to beat a disaster, about sacrifices, and the fearless service of COVID-19 warriors similar to healthcare staff, police personnel, and sanitation staff.

The interval of 31 days of lockdown has additionally had its share of hiccups with social distancing tips going for a toss on sure events — from 1000’s of migrant staff thronging Anand Vihar bus terminus on the Delhi-UP border within the earlier levels of the shutdown to a crowd of migrant laborers gathering in suburban Bandra earlier this month.

The authorities has maintained that if not for the lockdown and different containment measures similar to contact tracing and isolation, the numbers of coronavirus instances would have been sky-high.

The well being ministry has additionally maintained that the speed of rise in confirmed instances would have been a lot decrease, however for the Tablighi Jamaat occasion at Delhi’s Nizamuddin final month.

While on the one hand, heart-wrenching tales of migrant laborers strolling lots of of miles to achieve residence emerged, on the different, inspiring incidents of healthcare staff fearlessly preventing the pandemic got here to the fore throughout the one month of lockdown.

But, one dominant theme that appeared to dwarf all the things else is a dedication of a nation to combat the seemingly lengthy battle towards COVID-19 to emerge victorious.

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